Double Dutch, 15th February 2016

I suspected the one that led would have a great chance to win in that tactical Lingfield race on Saturday, and so it proved. Sadly for us it wasn’t the horse I thought would go on. Instead, the 14/1 outsider of the field, Royal Marskell, laughed at his rival jockeys’ lack of enterprise. Smashing won easily in leg two, for the record.

Friday’s results were as follows:

Alshan Fajer : 5th at 9/4 (adv 3/1)
Gaelic Silver: 3rd at 6/1 (adv 4/1)
Smashing : WON at 9/10 (adv 6/4)
Ballycasey : 3rd at 15/8 (adv 9/4)

Results to date:
803 winning selections from 2898 = 27.71%
248 winning bets in 750 days = 33.07%

Stakes: 1499.00pts
Returns: 1570.03pts
P/L : +71.03pts (+4.74% ROI)

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And Monday’s Selections…

2.10 Catterick :

Soft, good to soft in places, but I reckon it could be quite sticky at Catterick today. Favourite Yes I Did has a perfect two from two record on soft and her trainer, Dan Skelton, is in good form currently. She will have to lug the double penalty for her two wins – two more than her oppo – which could make things trickier, but there’s little doubt she’s the best mare in the field.

If the weight undoes her, it could be close between Kila’s Girl and Miss Gotaway. The former hasn’t run for a year and is very weak in the market, while the latter ran a fine race last time and is notably strong in the market. I’ll side with David Pipe’s mare on that basis. After just two runs under Rules, most recently that third in heavy ground, she has scope to improve and comes here match fit.

2.50 Wolverhampton :

A three year old fillies’ maiden with an unraced lass favoured. Beauly is that one, and judging by market support, she’s plenty forward enough for this debut spin in what looks a very ordinary contest. Having cost more than £120,000, connections would be disappointed not to collect here.

The one that might give her most to do is the once raced Asafoetida,  who ran an eye-catching race at Chelmsford on debut. Green there, she ran on when it was all over and, if a bit more professional this time, should go close to closing out our double on what is a deeply unexciting day’s racing.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Yes I Did / Beauly @ 3.95/1 (6/5 & 5/4 : racebets)
Yes I Did / Asafoetida @ 9.5/1 (11/10 & 4/1 : BetVictor, Coral)
Miss Gotaway / Beauly @ 10.55/1 (9/2 & 11/10 : Skybet)
Miss Gotaway/ Asafoetida @ 24/1 (4/1 & 4/1 : Coral)


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