Double Dutch, 22nd February 2016

The three mile hunter chase on heavy ground at Haydock certainly took its toll on the seniors. One by one, they ulled up, leaving just two finishers from seven and it was our pick, Pearlysteps, that made all and fairly coasted to an 85-lengths victory.

Unfortunately though, the double had already gone, after we’d only managed third and fourth at Lingfield earlier in the day. Come On Dave was unlucky to get beaten by 2.5 lengths, I felt, after clipping heels at just the wrong time, losing momentum and ground.

These incidents are, of course, part and parcel of racing in “the pocket”, but we’re a little aggrieved that it contributed to us missing a possible 13/1 payout.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Come On Dave : 3rd at 3/1 (adv 10/3)
Taajub : 4th at 6/1 (adv 9/2)
Pearlysteps : WON at 7/4 (adv 9/4)
Richmond : PU at 11/4 (adv 7/2)

Results to date:
810 winning selections from 2922 = 27.72%
250 winning bets in 756 days = 33.07%

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Stakes: 1511.00pts
Returns: 1582.82pts
P/L : +71.82pts (+4.75% ROI)

And to Monday’s Selections…

2.20 Lingfield :

Tabla has raced here twice over course and distance in the past, winning one and losing one by just over half a length and although beaten again here last time out, should put up another bold show. In fairness, she didn’t see the 1m2f trip out last time and the drop back to a mile should suit. She was lit up and a bit too keen last time, which won’t have helped and the visor has been reached for today in a bid to settle her earlier. If it works, then 7/2 BOG could be a nice price.

But she does have a knack of finding one just too good for her and that’s likely to be the case again today in the shape of the 2/1 BOG Colourfilly, who despite still being a maiden after 8 races, has shown both promise and progression in her last three runs since a switch to Tom Dascombe’s yard. Both yard and jockey have good records here at this track with Jim Crowley riding really well at present, it could well be 9th time lucky for Colourfilly at 2/1 BOG.

5.55 Wolverhampton :

Fingal’s Cave paid the price for travelling too strongly at Chelmsford 11 days ago on his return from an 8 month break. He was finally overhauled inside the last furlong of that one mile contest, eventually beaten into fourth place by a length and a half. He should strip fitter for having had the run and if employing the same tactics off the same mark under the same jockey, the drop back in trip to 7f could be the key to a win at 5/2 BOG.

The main threat looks to be National Service, despite him still being rated some 8lbs higher than when winning at Kempton three starts ago. Gordon Elliott’s horses are in really good form (8/24 in the last 2 weeks and 5/15 in the past 7 days) and whilst he doesn’t send many too Wolverhampton (just 40 in 8 years!), this horse has one win and one runner-up finish from just two runs here, both over course and distance, making him of obvious interest at 100/30 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Colourfilly / Fingal’s Cave @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : Stan James)
Colourfilly / National Service @ 11.46/1 (15/8 & 10/3 : Betfair, BetVictor & Paddy Power)
Tabla / Fingal’s Cave @ 14.75/1 (7/2 & 5/2 : generally)
Tabla / National Service @ 18.50/1 (7/2 & 10/3 : Betfair, BetVictor, Hills & Paddy Power)


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