Double Dutch, 23rd February 2016

Fingal’s Cave was too good/strong for his rivals in Wolverhampton’s finale yesterday, but it counted for nothing after a really poor show in the Lingfield opener with our runners finishing 4th and 6th of justsix runners.

It has been tough over the last week or so, but little/no point dwelling on it, let’s crack on!

Monday’s results were as follows:

Colourfilly : 4th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Tabla : 6th at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Fingal’s Cave : WON at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
National Service : 4th at 5/1 (adv 10/3)

Results to date:
811 winning selections from 2926 = 27.72%
250 winning bets in 757 days = 33.03%

Stakes: 1513.00pts
Returns: 1582.82pts
P/L : +69.82pts (+4.61% ROI)

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And to Tuesday’s Selections…

2.10 Wetherby :

An awful looking contest, where only the top two in the betting have shown any kind of recent form worth writing about! So hopefully they’ll lead the way home here.

Zayfire Aramis‘ run at Uttoxeter 24 days ago was his best to date and more impressively came off the back of a 344-day absence from the track. Assuming there’s no bounce factor here, a repeat of that effort would more than likely be enough here. He only really got found out late on in that 2m4f encounter, yet still probably would have won it, but for bumping into a progressive sort who was completing a hat-trick. I say that, because the rest of the field were strung out and well beaten. The drop in trip should help and I’d expect him to be in fighting at 3/1 BOG today.

Copt Hill has proven to be more consistent, though, and his 7/2 BOG pricetag might prove a little generous later this afternoon. He doesn’t win often enough, but has shown signs that he might be ready to land one with increasingly improved efforts in each of his last three outings, where has has finished third with decreasing margins of defeat each time. Only beaten by half a length in a better race last time out, he now has the in-form Craig Nichol on his back and as it’s Craig’s only booked ride, he’ll be keen to extend his good record in Wetherby handicaps (currently 7/27) on this one.

4.45 Taunton :

Another weak looking contest, where the field seems to be more about quantity than quality! The obvious starting point has to be the 7/4 BOG The Wealerdealer, who was last seen on a racecourse winning a similar event to this at Exeter some 294 days ago, which came 300 days after his last racecourse outing. But during both long absences, he was running in and winning PTP contests, the latest of which was a win 86 days ago. He’s clearly in decent form and although he might have something to prove in testing conditions, should still be the pick of the bunch here.

Next best is likely/hopefully the 4/1 BOG Decade Player, who was recently second between the flags on his debut for his new yard, but the drop right back in trip should really suit him based on past form. All his best Irish form came from around this shorter trip in fields of 8 to 15 runners and in a fairly unappealing contest today, he could well build on the promise shown in that PTP event a month ago.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Zayfire Aramis / The Wealerdealer @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : Stan James)
Zayfire Aramis / Decade Player @ 19/1 (3/1 & 4/1 : Paddy Power)
Copt Hill / The Wealerdealer @ 11.38/1 (7/2 & 7/4 : Stan James)
Copt Hill / Decade Player @ 20.67/1 (10/3 & 4/1 : Betfair Sports)


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