Wednesday’s Result :
7.10 Kempton : Biff Johnson @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 7/2 (Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on, but beaten by a length)
Thursday’s runner goes in the…
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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Comragh @ 9/2 BOG
This 6yr old mare makes both her yard and handicap debut today, having last been seen 106 days ago winning by 8 lengths at Ayr, where she was the main beneficiary of a fall by the leader at the last hurdle. She has since switched yards and now runs for Jeremy Scott, who from a fairly small sample size, tends to do well here at Huntingdon.
Since the start of 2011, his 22 runners here have produced 7 winners (31.8% SR) and a healthy 7.13pts (+32.4% ROI) of level stakes profits. Once has to assume it’s the 400+ mile round trip from Somerset that keeps him away, because closer inspection shows that of those 22 runners he has sent here…
- today’s jockey Nick Scholfield has ridden 6 winners from 20 (30% SR) for 6.26pts (+31.3% ROI)
- hurdlers are 5/14 (35.7% SR) for 1.65pts (+11.8% ROI), these tend to get backed!
- those priced at 5/1 and shorter are 6/13 (46.2% SR) for 4.91pts (+37.8% ROI)
- 6 yr olds are 4/7 (57.1% SR) for 7.33pts (+104.7% ROI)
- females are 4/6 (66.7% SR) for 6.79pts (+113.1% ROI)
- and in female only races, they are 2/3 (66.7% SR) for 2.04pts (+68% ROI)
Nick Scholfield / Jeremy Scott/ Female Hurdlers / 5-1 and shorter are 4 from 4 for 8.8pts (+220% ROI) of which 6 yr olds are 3 from 3 for 8.46pts (+282.2% ROI).
Comrah makes her handicap bow today and last year was a good one for Jermey Scott’s handicap debutants with 4 winners from 10 for profits of 18.67pts (+186.7% ROI), of which class 4 runners were 3 from 7 (42.9% SR) for 15.92pts (+227.5% ROI), females were 3 from 6 (50% SR) for 19.1pts (+318.1% ROI) and Nick Scholfield rode 2 winners from 3 (66.7% SR) for 6.33pts (+211% ROI)
None of the 10 were priced between 11/2 and 12/1, they fell either side of that gap, but those at 5/1 or shorter won 3 from 3 for 9.47pts (+315.7% ROI)
And today’s play is…a 1pt win bet on Comragh at 9/2 BOG, a price currently (8.255pm) available with more than half a dozen different firms, so to find your preferred bookie, simply…
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