Double Dutch, 26th February 2016

After a frustrating run of late followed by a near miss on Wednesday, Thursday proved to be a much better day for us.

Two handicap chases an hour apart yielded two winners, a runner-up (providing an 11.5/1 exacta) and a third place, meaning we came away from the day with a 13.63/1 double after Oscar Oscar and Vazaro Delafayette had won comfortably by 16 and 11 lengths respectively.

I could do with a few more days like that!

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Oscar Oscar : WON at 10/3 (adv 7/2)
Discoverie : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 7/2)
The Exacta paid £12.50 here to a £1 stake
Vazaro Delafayette : WON at 13/8 (adv 9/4)
Hollow Blue Sky : 3rd at 1/4 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
814 winning selections from 2938 = 27.68%
251 winning bets in 760 days = 32.94%

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Stakes: 1519.00pts
Returns: 1590.13pts
P/L : +71.13pts (+4.68% ROI)

And to Friday’s Selections…

3.00 Lingfield :

The penny has certainly dropped of late for Englishwoman, who now comes here with a double penalty after three consecutive wins over today’s 5f (twice) and 6f. That said, she’s still available at 2/1 BOG in a 6-runner race, probably due to this being her first run here at Lingfield and also because of the extra weight. Her 5lb climer jockey has replaced with one claiming 7lbs so that helps slightly and the yard has done well here in recent times. On form, Englishwoman is the clear pick…

…but should things not quite to go to plan, handicap debutant Equijade is the one I’d side with. A course and distance winner here at Lingfield on debut 13 days ago despite making an excusable start. that said, she still won by a good four lengths and although the quality of that race probably wasn’t too high, she could only beat what she faced and she did that well. Further improvement is expected and as such, Equijade looks a decent backup at 11/4 BOG.

4.15 Warwick :

Anthony Honeyball has really got As de Fer on top of his game right now and depsite a hike in weights, I wouldn’t be too surprised to see him land the hat-trick here over 3m on soft ground. He won on this track (3m1.5f, soft) two starts ago, before winnning over shorter on heavy ground at Wincanton three weeks ago. A quick look at his profile suggests class, track, trip, course direction etc are all ideal for him and he’s 2/2 under the promisingly talented David Noonan who claims 5lbs. Based on all that, 9/2 BOG looks a tad generous.

He won’t have it all his own way, though and I’d expect the 11yr old Hi Vic to pose the biggest challenge today. Lightly raced for his age with just 5 starts under Rules, a form line of 11213 is impressive stuff. Similar to As de Fer, neither the trip nor the going will be his undoing here and he is also 2 from 2 with his jockey and away from the racecourse has won two of 7 PTP contests and made the frame in 2 of his defeats. Stamina should be fine and 9/2 BOG about Hi Vic looks reasonable.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Englishwoman / As de Fer @ 15.50/1 (2/1 & 9/2 : BetVictor & Ladbrokes)
Englishwoman / Hi Vic @ 15.50/1 (2/1 & 9/2 : generally)
Equijade / As de Fer @ 18.25/1 (5/2 & 9/2 : BetVictor & Ladbrokes)
Equijade / Hi Vic @ 19.63/1 (11/4 & 9/2 : Bet365)


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