Double Dutch, 27th February 2016

As good as Thursday was for/to us, Friday was equally poor, I’m afraid as we continue to struggle for any real consistency.

In the opener at Lingfield, the money came for Englishwoman (13/8 from 2/1) as she sought the first 4-timer whilst our other runner, Equijade, was friendless in the market (10/1 from 11/4!), yet it was the latter that ran best, beaten by 2.5 lengths into third place with the favourite trailing in last of the six a further 3 lengths back.

That was obviously not good for us and it meant that the Warwick race wasn’t going to count for much, which is just as well, because As de Fer’s 5th place finish (beaten by 25L!) was as good as it got, whilst Hi Vic was pulled up 2 from home after several mistakes and an uncharacteristically poor run.

Friday’s results were as follows:

Equijade : 3rd at 10/1 (adv 11/4)
Englishwoman : 6th at 13/8 (adv 2/1)
As de Fer : 5th at 9/2 (adv 9/2)
Hi Vic : PU at 8/1 (adv 9/2)

Results to date:
814 winning selections from 2938 = 27.68%
251 winning bets in 760 days = 32.94%

Your first 30 days for just £1

Stakes: 1519.00pts
Returns: 1590.13pts
P/L : +71.13pts (+4.68% ROI)

And to Saturday’s Selections…

3.10 Chepstow :

Evan Williams’ hurdlers were 7/21 here at Chepstow last year and more long term, jockey Paul Moloney is 9/41 on the Williams handicap hurdlers here at this track, which suggests we’ll get a decent run from the 4/1 BOG Ballyglasheen. This is a horse who won a Gr 3 (Swinton) at Haydock last year, but has failed to build on that after going up in the weights. He’s now, however, 2lbs lower than that last win, giving him every chance here.

The one to beat, though, is Floresco at 5/2 BOG, a horse in really good nick having finished 2221 in his four runs this year. Neither the trip nor the ground conditions should hold any fears here and despite a 6lb penalty for a win at Wincanton last time out, he stands every chance of going in again here.

3.20 Lingfield :

Grendisar was second in this race last year, headed late on in a three quarter length defeat and he’ll be keen to make amends this year. He warmed up for this event by landing a C&D Listed race last time out, which took his record over track and trip to 4 wins from 9 . Today’s jockey, Adam Kirby, is 3 from 6 on this horse in those C&D contests and Grendisar is priced at 11/4 BOG to take his record when running in February to 4 from 4.

Stiffest opposition is expected to come from Festive Fare, as it did last time out, when he chased Grendisar home, going down by just half a length. In his defence, he never really travelled well that day, looking unsettled for large parts of the contest, so to get so close to the winner was a feat in itself. The cheekpieces are applied today in a bid to calm him down and if successful, a win at 9/4 BOG could well be on the cards for a horse who is 1112 on the A/W.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Floresco / Festive Fare @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : generally)
Floresco / Grendisar @ 12.13/1 (5/2 & 11/4 : generally)
Ballyglasheen / Festive Fare @ 15.25/1 (4/1 & 9/4 : generally)
Ballyglasheen / Grendisar @ 17.75/1 (4/1 & 11/4 : generally)


Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *