Sat TV Trends: 5th March 2016

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday C4 race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise – Newbury and Doncaster provide the LIVE C4 action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

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NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (C4/RUK)

1.45 – Betfair Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f CH4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Evan Williams has a 27% (+£23) record with his hurdlers at the track

2.15 – Betway Supporting Greatwood, Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 4 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y CH4

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7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
6/7 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/7 – Aged 10 years-old
4/7 – Favourites unplaced
4/7 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
4/7 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
2/7 – Won their last race
1/7 – Favourites
David Pipe won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 5/1

2.50 – Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m110y CH4

13/13 – Won over this 2m trip (hurdles)
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Aged 6 or younger
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
10/13 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
8/13 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/13 – Ran at Newbury before
6/13 – Rated 120 or less
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – From the top three in the betting
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle
2/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Gary Moore
Royal Guardsman won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/1

3.25 – StanJames.com Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f CH4

12/13 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
12/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
10/13 – Won over this trip previously
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/13 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
7/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
6/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/13 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
5/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/13 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/13 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/13 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Watch Live Racing On betbright.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y CH4

Five previous runnings
5/5 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
4/5 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
3/5 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
2/5 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/5 – Trained by Brian Ellison
1/5 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey James Reveley has a +£27 level stakes profit riding chasers at the track

2.35 – BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 9 or younger
3/4 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
2/4 – Aged 9 years-old
2/4 – Favourites
Nicky Henderson won the race 12 months ago
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013
Nicky Henderson has a 42% record with his hurdlers at the track
David Pipe is just 1 from 22 with his hurdlers at the track
Trevor Whelan is 2 from 31 riding over hurdles at the track

3.10 – BetBright Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y CH4

Three previous running
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3.3 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Won by the favourite
Trainer Keith Reveley won the race 12 months ago
Peter Bowen is 0 from 37 with his hurdlers here
Trevor Whelan is 2 from 31 riding over hurdles at the track

 

3.45 – BetBright Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f CH4

12/12 – Aged 8 or older
11/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/12 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/12 – Aged 9 or older
9/12 – Rated 131 or less
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
5/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
1/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 8/1

 

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