Stat of the Day, 2nd April 2016
Friday’s Result :
8.15 Wolverhampton: Jarir @ 5/1 BOG 2nd at 11/4 (Led after 1f, ridden and headed 1f out, stayed on same pace)
Saturday’s runner goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Shyron @ 11/2 BOG
Why?
Trainer George Margarson’s horses are 3/10(30% SR) for 22.9pts (+229% ROI) profit here at Kempton over the last 12 months with today’s jockey Ryan Powell riding 2 winners from 2 for 26.9pts!
They now team up with Shyron, who was a winner at this grade over this trip last time out, when scoring at Lingfield 29 days ago with Ryan in the saddle.
This 5yr old gelding seems to have ideal conditions in his bid to further improve and excellent A/W record, which has seen him make the frame 11 times from 14 starts, winning 6 times (42.9% SR) for level stakes profits of 17.1pts at an ROI of 121.9% ROI and under today’s race conditions, he is…
- 6/13 (46.2% SR) for 18.1pts (+139.2% ROI) at odds of 7/1 and shorter
- 6/12 (50% SR) for 19.1pts (+159.2% ROI) in fields of 8-13 runners
- 5/12 (41.7% SR) for 11.04pts (+92% ROI) on Polytrack
- 4/10 (40% SR) for 12.96pts (+129.6% ROI) over this 7f trip
- 2/6 (33.3% SR) for 6.75pts (+112.3% ROI) at this Class 2 grade
- 2/5 (40% SR) for 5.89pts (+117.8% ROI) after a win last time out.
And on Polytrack in fields of 8 to 13 runners when priced at 7/1 or shorter, he has made the frame in 8 of 9 races, winning 5 times (55.6% SR) and generating 14.04pts (+156% ROI) profit, finishing 221 in the three races under Ryan Powell.
So the call is…a 1pt win bet on Shyron at 11/2 BOG with Paddy Power, who at 7.15pm were the standout price. Betway were matching that price, but don’t/won’t go BOG until morning and there’s plenty of 5/1 BOG on offer, as you’ll see when/if you…
…click here for the betting on the 2.30 Kempton
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