Stat of the Day, 2nd May 2016

Saturday’s Result :

2.15 Goodwood: Miss Marjurie @ 3/1 BOG 6th at 9/2 (Held up towards rear, headway over 3f out, chased leaders over 2f out, weakened final furlong).

Bank Holiday Monday’s pick goes in the…

5.35 Kempton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Dunraven Storm at 13/2 BOG.


Both trainer, Philip Hobbs and jockey, Richard Johnson are in great form at present, boasting records of 10/38 and 11/43 respectively over the past fortnight, whilst as a partnership, they have 8 winners from 18.

More generally/long-term, Kempton has been a happy hunting ground for the Hobbs’ chasers with 15 winners from 87 (17.2% SR) and 30.2pts (+34.7% ROI) level stakes profits accrued over the last 8 years, from which…

  • males are 15/86 (17.4% SR) for 31.2pts (+36.3% ROI)
  • those running further than 2m are 13/73 (17.8% SR) for 96.2pts (+131.7% ROI)
  • Class 2 to 4 runners are 11/56 (19.6% SR) for 43.8pts (+78.3% ROI)
  • handicappers are 8/52 (15.4% SR) for 30.5pts (+58.6% ROI)
  • those ridden by Richard Johnson are 10/51 (19.6% SR) for 17.5pts (+34.3% ROI)
  • on good ground, there has been 6 winners from 40 (15% SR) for 24.7pts (+61.6% ROI)
  • and those running after a break of 1 to 3 months are 6/32 (18.8% SR) for 32.8pts (+102.5% ROI)

In addition to the above, an added layer of confidence comes from the fact that the Hobbs’ handicap chasers dropping in class are 37/204 (18.1% SR) for 58.5pts (+28.7% ROI) since the start of 2011, with the following of particular relevance today…

  • those racing after a break of 21 to 60 days are 19/104 (18.3% SR) for 32.6pts (+31.4% ROI)
  • those ridden by Richard Johnson are 24/103 (23.3% SR) for 79.3pts (+77% ROI)
  • and those dropping down into Class 2 are 12/50 (24% SR) for 32.5pts (+65% ROI)

So the call is…a 1pt win bet on Dunraven Storm at 13/2 BOG (actually 6/1 BOG plus) with Ladbrokes who were the standout price as at 9.10pm. To see what your bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 5.35 Kempton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard…

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