Stat of the Day, 10th May 2016

Monday’s Result :

3.30 Wolverhampton: Atrayu @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 6/4 (With leader, led over 3f out, headed over 2f out, led again well over 1f out, hard pressed, hung right inside final furlong, headed close home).

Tuesday’s pick goes in the…

4.10 Wincanton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Thundering Home at 7/2 BOG.


This 9 yr old gelding was a winner over this very course and distance on similarly good to firm ground just 5 days ago off a mark of 99, which has remained unaltered due to that contest being a conditional jockeys’ event.

That said, he’s partnered by the same jockey today, who actually gets to use a 3lb claim, which should help our mount remain competitive and Thundering Home has already won 6 of 19 handicap hurdle races with Tom Bellamy in the saddle, from which they are 5/13 at trips of 2m1f and shorter, 4/8 at odds of 7/1 and shorter, 4/8 running within 15 days of his last run.

When partnered with this jockey, the horse is also 4/10 wearing a tongue tie, 2/4 in Class 5 contests, 2/4 here at Wincanton and 1 from 1 on good to firm ground acquired during Thursday’s course and distance triumph.

In addition to the above, UK handicap hurdlers aged 6 and over who last ran 2 to 6 days ago are 251/1394 (18% SR) for 1069pts (+76.7% ROI) profit since the start of 2008, providing they’d had at least one other run in the past three months.

Plus, since the start of 2011, UK handicap hurdlers who were LTO winners and are former course and distance winners have won 194 of 893 races (21.7% SR) for profits of 213.5pts (+23.9% ROI) with those who were C&D winners last time out “doubling up” on 142 of 638 (22.3% SR) occasions for level stakes profits of 149.2pts at an impressive ROI of 23.4%

So the call is…a 1pt win bet on Thundering Home at 7/2 BOG with Betfair’s Sportsbook, which was the standout price at 6.20pm To see what your bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.10 Wincanton

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Here is today’s racecard…

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