Sat TV Trends: 14th May 2016

After a week at York there is no let-up as the C4 cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover 4 races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three races from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends…..

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.45 – Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

13/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/13 – Drawn 4 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Had run at Newbury before
8/13 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
8/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
3/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

3.20 – Toronado Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y CH4

10/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/11 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Drawn in stall 3
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

3.55 – Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Won over a mile before
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won a Group One race before
10/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/13 – Having their first run of the season
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
9/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
3/13 – Won by a mare
3/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
4/13 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute (Has won the race 7 times in all)
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
0/13 – No winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958

4.30 – Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

13/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Rated 90 or lower
10/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/13 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
8/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
6/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won)
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Trained by Ed Dunlop
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

3.00 – Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Cl2 1m6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
8/9 – Had won at least twice before
8/9 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/9 – Rated 95 or lower
7/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 4 (1 joint)
7/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/9 – Had raced at Newmarket before
6/9 – Carried 9-1 or more
6/9 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
5/9 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8.3/1

3.35 –Betfair Cash Out King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won only once before
11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/13 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
10/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon (Last two winners)
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

4.10 – Betfair Price Rush Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/13 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/13 – Rated between 91-96
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Had raced at Newmarket before
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by a mare/filly
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7.3/1

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