Stat of the Day, 23rd May 2016

Saturday’s Result :

2.20 Newmarket : Chelsea Lad @ 9/2 BOG WON at 5/2 (Held up, not much room approaching final 2f, headway when edged left over 1f out, ridden and ran on strongly to lead towards finish winning by 0.75 lengths).

Monday’s pick goes in the…

3.20 Leicester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Johnny B Goode at 11/4 BOG.


Well, this 4yr old gelding is in decent nick of late, winning a similar good ground Class 6 6f seller two starts ago at Thirsk 16 days ago and was only beaten by one last time out. That last run was just three days ago at Catterick in another seller on quicker ground, where he was a length and a half short of reeling in the winner who made all and pretty much nicked it from the front.

Judged on his past runs, trip, going and class are all fine for him, as is a quick reappearance (won on the only other occasion he was turned out within a week) and the track is one favoured by his handlers, as Richard Fahey’s horses are 26/128 here since the start of the 2010 season.

In respect of today’s encounter, those 128 runners are…

  • 16/76 (21.1% SR) for 179.8pts (+236.5% ROI) racing within 25 days of their last run
  • 9/32 (28.1% SR) for 62.3pts (+194.7% ROI) over 6f
  • 6/26 (23.1% SR) for 19.8pts (+76% ROI) ridden by Paul Hanagan, an excellent judge of race pace
  • 5/24 (20.8% SR) for 23.4pts (+97.4% ROI) at Class 6
  • 8/22 (36.4% SR) for 25.7pts (+116.6% ROI) from those beaten by just 1 to 4 lengths last time out.

And so the call is…a 1pt win bet on Johnny B Goode at 11/4 BOG with any of Bet365, BetVictor, Coral and/or Hills who were the best on offer at 10.50pm. Betfred, Ladbrokes and Totesport are also matching the price, but don’t/won’t give BOG until the morning of the race. To see what your preferred firm is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.20 Leicester

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Here is today’s racecard…

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