Stat of the Day, 3rd June 2016

Thursday’s Result :

2.40 Lingfield : Broughton’s Fancy @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 11/10 (Heavily backed. Broke well, soon tracking leaders, kept on under pressure closing stages, no chance with easy winner)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

4.55 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Who?

Best Trip at 11/2 BOG

Why?

This 9yr old gelding has already won 6 times at Class 4 and has 5 wins over today’s 6f trip. He’s aslo 2 from 7 here at Catterick and 2 from 5 on good to firm ground, so conditions aren’t exactly alien to him.

He’s trained by Marjorie Fife who, despite not being the most prolific of trainers, does well here at Catterick in certain races that she appears to target and they are Class 4 to 6 handicaps where her runners are 12/59 (20.3% SR) for 57.5pts (+97.4% ROI) in the 11/4 to 14/1 price range, of which those ridden by a 5lb claimer are 4/17 (23.5% SR) for 9.24pts (+54.4% ROI).

The in-form (3/11 in the last week) Nathan Evans takes the ride today and he’s generally good value for his own 5lb claim and the yards success here from a small number of rides with a claimer is borne out more generally with an 11/63 (17.5% SR) record when claiming 5lbs in a flat handicap at odds of 9/4 to 11/1 since the start of 2011, which has resulted in profits of 28.9pts at an ROI of 45.9%.

Of those 63 runners, they are…

  • 9/42 (21.4% SR) for 36.2pts (+86.1% ROI) on grass
  • 4/17 (23.5% SR) for 19.4pts (+114.2% ROI) at the ages of 9 & 10
  • 4/16 (25% SR) for 16pts (+100% ROI) at Class 4
  • 4/12 (33.3% SR) for 31.5pts (+262.4% ROI) over 6 furlongs

…so the call today is…a 1pt win bet on Best Trip at 11/2 BOG with any one of around a half dozen firms offering the same odds at 8.05pm, so to see what your preferred firm is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.55 Catterick

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *