Thursday’s Result :
2.40 Lingfield : Broughton’s Fancy @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 11/10 (Heavily backed. Broke well, soon tracking leaders, kept on under pressure closing stages, no chance with easy winner)
Friday’s pick goes in the…
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Best Trip at 11/2 BOG
This 9yr old gelding has already won 6 times at Class 4 and has 5 wins over today’s 6f trip. He’s aslo 2 from 7 here at Catterick and 2 from 5 on good to firm ground, so conditions aren’t exactly alien to him.
He’s trained by Marjorie Fife who, despite not being the most prolific of trainers, does well here at Catterick in certain races that she appears to target and they are Class 4 to 6 handicaps where her runners are 12/59 (20.3% SR) for 57.5pts (+97.4% ROI) in the 11/4 to 14/1 price range, of which those ridden by a 5lb claimer are 4/17 (23.5% SR) for 9.24pts (+54.4% ROI).
The in-form (3/11 in the last week) Nathan Evans takes the ride today and he’s generally good value for his own 5lb claim and the yards success here from a small number of rides with a claimer is borne out more generally with an 11/63 (17.5% SR) record when claiming 5lbs in a flat handicap at odds of 9/4 to 11/1 since the start of 2011, which has resulted in profits of 28.9pts at an ROI of 45.9%.
Of those 63 runners, they are…
- 9/42 (21.4% SR) for 36.2pts (+86.1% ROI) on grass
- 4/17 (23.5% SR) for 19.4pts (+114.2% ROI) at the ages of 9 & 10
- 4/16 (25% SR) for 16pts (+100% ROI) at Class 4
- 4/12 (33.3% SR) for 31.5pts (+262.4% ROI) over 6 furlongs
…so the call today is…a 1pt win bet on Best Trip at 11/2 BOG with any one of around a half dozen firms offering the same odds at 8.05pm, so to see what your preferred firm is offering, simply…
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