Stat of the Day, 11th June 2016

Friday’s Result :

6.55 Chepstow: Distant High @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 9/4 (Slowly into stride, tracked leading pair, every chance from 2f out, soon ridden, no extra and held close home)

Chris signed off with a winner on Thursday, and a top one at that: Capo Rosso, nominated at 6/1, won at 5/1. Great work.

A second footnote from Thursday night when Acajou Des Bieffes, nominated here on 22nd April but running no race at all at 5/1, won on his first start since… at 20/1. Apparently he’s been suffering from ulcers, which have since been treated. Sigh.

Anyway, Saturday’s pick goes in the…

2.55 Bath:

Who?

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Free To Love at 3/1 BOG

Why?

A trainer jockey combo for Saturday, and it is that of Charles Hills and Steve Drowne, who have a 6-from-12 50% record when teaming up on top of the hill in the last five years.

Those six winners paid for the losers and left a profit of +19 points.

And two of the wins were with this horse: Free To Love won here when priced at 11/4 and at 15/2 from three starts at the track. She was fourth in between those wins.

Jockey Drowne has a 10/78 record overall at Bath in the last five years, for break even at level stakes. But he’s 8/62 in handicaps, for a profit of +8.13

The trainer, Charles Hills, has won with four of the 20 handicappers he’s saddled here in that time, for a +6.00 return. He’s had a further five placed (45% place strike rate).

On pure form terms, Free To Love is just three pounds higher than her last win, and should be able to lie very handy from her inside draw in stall one.

She’s expected to go well…

…so it’s a 1pt win bet on Free To Love at 3/1 BOG with any of the handful of bookies quoting those odds at 5.45pm. For a fuller market overview, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.55 Bath

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

 

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