Stat of the Day, 25th June 2016

Friday’s Result :

5.35 Yarmouth : Shypen @ 11/2 BOG 3rd at 9/4 (Close up, ridden over 1f out, kept on tp go 3rd near finish, not trouble leaders)

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

3.55 Newmarket:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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So Beloved at 4/1 BOG


He’s in form, having made the frame in five of his last six starts, winning twice and he has a career record of two wins and two places from 5 runs on Soft ground, as well as winning 4 times over today’s 7f trip.

He also has three wins from 8 runs under today’s jockey Danny Tudhope, he has a record of 1 win and 1 place from two runs at this Group 3 level and has won 5 of 16 races after a short break of 16-60 days.

In addition to his own suitability to today’s conditions, the general stat I’ve applied here is that Males who have already won at least 1 Class 1 race are 92 from 275 (33.5% SR) for 110.8pts (+40.3% ROI) since the start of 2008 when running in a Class 1 race during the months of June to September at odds of 17/2 and shorter at the same class or one grade higher than their last run which was a top 5 finish 6 to 45 days ago. (trust me, it’s not as contrived as it sounds!)

And of those 275 runners, there has been 13 winners from 37 here on the July track, with the resultant 35.1% strike rate generating level stakes profits of 22.4pts at an ROI of 60.5%.

…meaning that today’s play is a 1pt win bet on So Beloved at 4/1 BOG , a price generally available in most places at 10pm, so to see what your preferred bookie is offering…

…click here for the betting on the 3.55 Newmarket

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Here is today’s racecard…

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