Stat of the Day, 7th July 2016

Wednesday’s Result :

5.10 Yarmouth : Mukaabra @ 3/1 BOG (12/5 after 20p R4) 2nd at 13/8 (Tracked leaders, effort to chase winner over 1f out, one pace final furlong) And another well backed placer!

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

4.30 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Bajan Rebel at 9/2 BOG


This 5 yr old mare has been somewhat of a revelation since returning to action in April of this year after a break of some 30 weeks. Her 6 runs this year have seen her finish 113123 (1123 over this 7f trip) and she was only narrowly beaten in both of her last two encounters and both at a higher grade than she faces today.

Overall, she has 3 wins from 8 rides on good to soft or worse, she’s 3/12 at the trip, 2/6 under today’s jockey plus those two placed efforts and she has won on her only previous run over this course and distance.

Furthermore, jockey Nathan Evans is 22/118 (18.6% SR) for 35.6pts (+30.2% ROI) when riding for Mick Easterby this year, with the following of interest…

  • in handicaps : 22/113 (19.5%) for 40.6pts (+36%)
  • when Nathan claims 5lbs : 14/75 (18.7%) for 27.4pts (+36.5%)
  • over trips of 5 to 7 furlongs : 18/71 (25.4%) for 63.8pts (+89.9%)
  • on the Flat : 14/71 (19.7%) for 30.3pts (+42.7%)
  • on horses rested for just 3 to 15 days : 13/49 (26.5%) for 31.7pts (+64.8%)
  • those priced at 2/1 to 11/2 are 17/48 (35.4%) for 36.5pts (+76.1%)

…so, the play is a 1pt win bet on Bajan Rebel at 9/2 BOG with any of the half dozen or so firms showing that price at 7.05pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…

…click here for the betting on the 4.30 Doncaster

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Here is today’s racecard…

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