SotD, 11/07/16

Saturday’s Result :

4.50 York : Muthmir @ 5/1 BOG 3rd at 4/1 (Held up, in rear, headway over 1f out, ridden and ran on inside final furlong, not able to challenge, but beaten by less than a length)

Monday’s pick goes in the…

7.10 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Rich Again at 4/1 BOG


This is jockey Ted Durcan’s only booked ride of the day and he tends to do pretty well here at Wolverhampton. In fact since 2009, he has ridden 54 winners from 253 (21.3% SR) here for level stakes profits of 31.9pts at an ROI of 12.6%, from which his record in handicaps stands at 33/161 (20.5% SR) for 39.8pts (+24.7% ROI).

From those 161 handicap rides, 16 of them have been for today’s trainer James Bethell since 2014, netting 6 winners (37.5% SR) and 13.15pts (+82.2% ROI) profit and now they team up again with Rich Again, who looks well suited by the task in hand, based on past performances.

That said, a first glance at his career record of 8 wins from 48 says reasonable but not brilliant. Yet if we look just a little closer, we see that he’s actually 7 from 25 (28% SR) on the A/W, which is pretty impressive at this level and those 25 runs contain the following pointers towards a decent run today…

  • 7/22 (31.8%) going left handed
  • 7/20 (35%) 8 to 30 days after his last run
  • 6/18 (33.3%) in fields of 8 to 11 runners
  • 5/16 (31.25%) under Ted Durcan
  • 6/14 (42.9%) here at Wolverhampton
  • 3/13 (23.1%) at Class 4
  • and 2/4 (50%) over this course and distance

…meaning that the call is a 1pt win bet on Rich Again at 4/1 BOG with any of over a dozen firms offering that price at 9.35pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…

…click here for the betting on the 7.10 Wolverhampton

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Here is today’s racecard…

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