Race of the Day – 20 July

Race of the Day – 20:05 Sandown Park

Sandown hosts an evening card today and it should be a lovely evening’s racing with the current hot weather ensuring the ground will be plenty firm enough.

Today’s Race of the Day is a 0-85 handicap run over one mile and six furlongs, with seven runners at the time of posting. EDIT – Kelvingrove is now a non runner.

Looking at the racecard we can see that Touch The Sky, who has won two out of his last three races, is rated a long way clear of the rest of the field on the Speed Ratings. He has a rating of 96, with the next closest on 77, a big difference and one definitely worth taking notice of. Atalan is at the bottom of the handicap but it is interesting to note that both his trainer and jockey have excellent recent form (the green characters below their names indicating excellent form over the past 14 and 30 days. For a more detailed look at this, click either the trainer or jockey icons below the horses name).

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The Instant Expert tab shows a clean sweep for Touch The Sky, with a nice green line across all five of the categories. We can rest assured that he is suited by today’s race conditions, however a note of caution, he is four pounds higher than his last winning mark (this can be seen under the ‘Rating’ column on this tab), and therefore may need to improve again to win this race. Kelvingrove also has his fair share of green here, showing us that he is suited by the going and the distance, which is an important  factor I feel in a race of this length.

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Due to the distance of this race I initially assumed that the pace and draw probably wouldn’t have that much of an impact. However, when looking at the Heat Map and Draw / Run Style Combinations, it is clear that is pays to be at least prominent, but even better to be making the pace. Both low and middle draws have had good results when leading with positive P/L figures for wins.

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The actual Pace tab shows that either Atalan or Touch The Sky are likely to lead as the others appears comfortable coming from off the pace.

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I definitely have a clear favourite in mind for this race, let me know what stands out for you or if you have discovered a different angle.

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