Wednesday’s Result :
3.45 Goodwood : The Last Lion @ 100/30 BOG 2nd at 3/1 (Chased leaders, went 2nd and edged right over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong, never going pace of winner)
Thursday’s pick goes in the…
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Oriental Relation at 7/2 BOG
A winner here over course and distance 9 days ago, making all last time out and similar tactics would serve him well again on a track that our racecard heatmap tells me rewards front runners from mid-placed draws and 5 of 8 is ideal here.
He’s up 5lbs for his win, but not only does his jockey’s claim negate the rise, he’s still some 13lbs lower than his A/W mark, so weight shouldn’t be an issue either.
Stats wise, he’s 8 from 35 (7/27 in hcps) running after a break of less them 3 weeks, 5/18 (4/14 in hcps) off a mark of 71-80 and 6/11 (5/9 in hcps) when priced at 4/1 and shorter, so conditions look set fair for him here.
Added to this is trainer James Given, whose 3 to 7 yr old handicappers running at Classes 5 to 7 with the CD logo next to their name and were LTO winners (anywhere!) are 8 from 19 (42.1% SR) for 10.28pts (+54.1% ROI) since 2010, of which those racing over today’s 5f trip are 3/5 (60%) for 11.02pts (+220.4%) profit.
…meaning that it’s a 1pt win bet on Oriental Relation at 7/2 BOG from Bet365, BetVictor and/or Hills, who led the way at 6.15pm, although to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
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