Stat of the Day, 3rd August 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

2.45 Catterick : Chant @ 11/4 non-BOG 3rd at 6/4 (Tracked leaders in 3rd, went 2nd over 3f out, ridden over 1f out, challenged inside final furlong, no extra and beaten by a length and a half)

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

5.20 Yarmouth :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Sandy Cove at 3/1 BOG

Why?

This 5 yr old gelding has 3 wins and a place in his last five outings, so he’s clearly in form and was a winner over today’s course and distance last time out, four weeks ago.

The main things I picked up when looking at his suitability for today were…

  • that he is 6/18 after a break of 16 to 45 days
  • he’s 3/10 under today’s jockey Ryan Tate
  • he has 2 wins from 3 over trips of 1m 5.5f to 1m 6f
  • his record at Yarmouth stands at a win and a place from two runs
  • and he’s 1 from 1 over track and trip.

In addition to the above, he was sired by Oasis Dream, whose offspring are 47/348 (13.5% SR) for 75pts (+21.6% ROI) in handicaps over 1m 3f to 1m 6f since 2008, with the following of relevance/interest today…

  • 3 to 6 yr olds are 43/314 (13.7%) for 85.6pts (+27.3%)
  • on the Flat : 27/198 (13.6%) for 56.2pts (+28.4%)
  • at Class 5 : 15/105 (14.3%) for 88.8pts (+84.6%)
  • on Good ground : 11/73 (15.1%) for 77.7pts (+106.4%)
  • and here at Yarmouth : 3/8 (37.5%) for 7.96pts (+99.5%)

…and so, it’s… a 1pt win bet on Sandy Cove at 3/1 BOG from any of the half dozen or so firms quoting the same price at 6.35pm and to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 5.20 Yarmouth

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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