Stat of the Day, 5th August 2016
Thursday’s Result :
8.25 Sandown : Choral Clan @ 4/1 BOG 4th at 11/4 (Held up, in touch, pushed along over 3f out, kept on final furlong, not trouble leaders)
Friday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Amirli at 7/2 BOG
Why?
A winner here at Musselburgh a week ago over 1m 5f under today’s jockey staying on well, looks to have a great chance if handling the step back up in trip.
No massive blockbuster stat behind this one, but three angles that are enough to make him worth another punt today…
- Trainer Alistair Whillans’ Musselburgh handicappers at 8/1 and shorter are 13/54 (24.1% SR) for 34.7pts (+64.3% ROI) since 2013.
* - His Flat handicappers dropping down a class and priced at 5/2 to 10/1 are 16/78 (20.5% SR) for 52.2pts (+66.9% ROI) since 2010, with those dropping into Class 6 company winning 9 of 37 (24.3%) for 39.1pts (+105.6%).
* - His Flat handicappers ridden by a 3lb claimer at 5/2 to 12/1 are 9/51 (17.7% SR) for 43pts (+84.3% ROI) since 2012, with Class 5/6 runners impressing with 8 wins from 37 (21.6%) for 53.2pts (+143.8%) profit.
…which leads me to… a 1pt win bet on Amirli at 7/2 BOG with either Bet365, Betbright and/or Hills, who led the way at 5.30pm, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
…click here for the betting on the 5.00 Musselburgh
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
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