Stat of the Day, 15th August 2016

Saturday’s Result :

5.00 Newmarket : Roll On Rory @ 7/1 BOG WON at 11/2 (Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, led inside final furlong, ran on to win by two lengths)

Monday’s pick goes in the…

3.00 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Santiburi Spring at 7/2 BOG


This very consistent 3 yr old filly returns to action after an 80-day rest period that was preceded by a decent run of form that saw her finish 32223 in her five runs this year. That’s arguably the best on offer today and she gets the dual benefit of a 9lbs weight for age allowance allied to the booking of jockey Kieren Fox today.

The weight allowance is self-explanatory, 9lbs is always useful, but the jockey? Well, he certainly knows his way around this circuit, winning 15 of his 54 (27.8% SR) rides here so far, rewarding followers with level stakes profits of 83.7pts at an ROI of 155%.

Those 54 rides include the following…

  • handicaps : 13/44 (29.6%) for 45.1pts (+102.4%)
  • over 1m to 1m 6f : 10/27 (37%) for 92.1pts (+341%)
  • and in handicaps over 1m to 1m 6f : 8/21 (38.1%) for 49.4pts (+235.4%)

Her trainer, John Best is also in possession of a good track record with 8 of his 40 runners (20% SR) winning here too, providing profits of 35pts (+87.4% ROI) along the way, of which…

  • those ridden by Kieren Fox are 8/34 (23.5%) for 41pts (+120.5%)
  • handicappers are 7/31 (22.6%) for 36.1pts (+116.5%)
  • over 8 to 10 furlongs : 6/23 (26.1%) for 42.1pts (+183.2%)
  • 3/4 yr olds : 6/22 (27.3%) for 42pts (+191.1%)
  • at an SP of 2/1 to 6/1 : 7/17 (41.2%) for 16.1pts (+94.7%)

AND… the Best / Fox / Chelmsford handicap angle = 7/26 (26.9% SR) for 41.1pts (+158.1% ROI)

But we can analyse those 26 runners yet even closer, as those racing over 8 to 10 furlongs are 5/15 (33.3%) for 42.3pts (+281.9%) and 3/4 yr olds are 5/13 (38.5%) for 43.2pts (+322.3%)

AND…Best / Fox / Chelmsford 3-4 yr old handicappers over 8 to 10 furlongs = 4/10 (40% SR) for 41.78pts (+417.8% ROI), with those priced at 2/1 to 5/1 winning 3 of 3!

…and that’s why it’s… a 1pt win bet on Santiburi Spring at 7/2 BOG with Bet365 and/or BetVictor, who were clear market leaders at 8.55pm. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.00 Chelmsford.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard…

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