Stat of the Day, 17th August 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

7.30 Wolverhampton : Mayasa @ 4/1 BOG still to run (Result/report to follow later)

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

3.55 Carlisle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Moonlightnavigator at 3/1 BOG

Why?

It’s all fairly simple/straightforward today (for a change!). Trainer John Quinn’s horses are in tremendous form winning three of eight in the last 10 days with four of the eight losers finishing as runners-up!

Moonlightnavigator had finished 3222 prior to his course and distance win here at this grade last time out, so he certainly wasn’t inning out of turn, despite not being totally settled. He always runs his race and it is/hoped expected that the first-time application of cheekpieces will assist further.

Other than the extra headgear, Moonlightnavigator looks to be well suited by the race conditions on offer today, as from a career record of 4 wins from 18 on the Flat, he is…

  • 4/12 in fields of fewer than 12 runners
  • 3/12 at Class 4
  • 3/9 over the 1m trip
  • 3/9 after a break of just 7 to 18 days
  • 3/5 going right handed
  • 3/4 when priced at 4/1 or shorter
  • and 1/1 over course and distance

In addition to the above, jockey Jason Hart is 4 from 8 (50% SR) for 8.64pts (+108% ROI) on John’s male horses priced at 6/4 to 5/1 in races of 4 10 runners, of which those returning from a break of 1 to 6 weeks are 4 from 6, whilst non-UK horses are 4 from 5 with non-UK horses returning after 1 to 6 weeks winning four from four.

Moonlightnavigator‘s the only course and distance winner in the field today, he just about brings the best form to the table, has a good to firm ground win in his locker and his yard is in good form…

…all of which points to… a 1pt win bet on Moonlightnavigator at 3/1 BOG, which was offered by both Bet365 and BetVictor at 5.30pm and to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.55 Carlisle.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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