Stat of the Day, 26th August 2016

Thursday’s Result :

4.00 Musselburgh : Ginger Jack @ 7/2 BOG (2.99/1 after R4) WON at 9/4 (Tracked leaders early, mid-division, ridden and effort 3f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on, led towards finish to win by a neck)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

2.55 Thirsk :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Jaarih at 7/2 BOG


Jaarih is a former course and distance winner, who has finished 2nd and then 1st in two starts in fields of 1 to 7 runners and is 1 from 1 under the in-form Paul Mulrennan on the Flat. (Paul has won 11 of his last 50 outings).

Jaarih is by Starspangledbanner, whose offspring are 46/237 (19.4% SR) for 199pts (+83.9% ROI) over trips shorter than a mile, including….

  • 23/114 (20.2%) for 165.7pts (+145.4%) in non-hcps
  • 30/84 (35.7%) for 53pts (+63.1%) at odds of 2/1 to 5/1
  • 5/10 (50%) for 20.28pts (+202.8%) at Class 6

AND… males rated (OR) 55-85 who carry top weight in a seller/claimer over trips of less than 10 furlongs are 215/727 (29.6% SR) for 134.2pts (+18.5% ROI) since 2008. This large sample size includes the following of note here today…

  • non-hcps : 214/719 (29.8%) for 138.7pts (+19.3%)
  • Class 6 : 196/646 (30.3%) for 126pts (+19.5%)
  • carrying 9-03 to 10-01 : 174/588 (29.6%) for 139pts (+23.6%)
  • priced at 6/5 to 5/1 : 137/402 (34.1%) for 79.8pts (+19.8%)
  • rated (OR) 61 to 72 : 107/378 (28.3%) for 148.4pts (+39.3%)

and a 20 (-ish) bets per year top weight in claimer/seller micro? OK, Class 6 , non hcp , 9-03 to 10-01 , 6/5 to 5/1 , OR 59 to 73 gives 66 winners from 176 (37.5% SR) for 73.3pts (+41.7% ROI)

…and… a 1pt win bet on Jaarih at 7/2 BOG, from any of Betbright, Betfair Sports, BetVictor and/or Paddy Power all quoting that price at 6.30pm, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.55 Thirsk.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard…

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