Saturday’s Result :
5.45 Cartmel : Noble Call @ 11/2 BOG 3rd at 7/2 (In touch, ridden before last, kept on run-in)
Monday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Crowning Glory at 4/1 BOG
This 3 yr old filly has been going well, winning two of her last five starts and only headed late on in a narrow defeat here over course and distance last time out, 32 days ago.
She’s a former winner at this trip and has 2 wins and that LTO runner-up finish to her name from three efforts in this grade and hails from an in-form yard, as three of Ralph Beckett’s last seven runners have been winners, but that comes as little surprise as he’s a profitable trainer to follow generally.
And since 2008, Ralph’s Flat handicappers priced at 11/4 to 12/1 are 125/847 (14.8% SR) for profits of 135.1pts at an ROI of 16% which, in respect of today’s race, can be analysed as follows…
- over trips of 6f to 1.5 miles : 104/678 (15.3%) for 138.8pts (+20.5%)
- those running 11-45 dslr : 96/605 (15.9%) for 131.7pts (+21.8%)
- females are 60/388 (15.5%) for 53.6pts (+13.8%)
- at Class 4 : 46/284 (16.2%) for 59.53pts (+21%)
- Ralph’s only runner of the day : 19/123 (15.5%) for 29.7pts (+24.1%)
- beaten by less than 1L LTO : 14/73(19.2%) for 15.8pts (+21.7%)
- here at Epsom : 7/35 (20%) for 6.19pts (+17.7%)
…steering us towards…
a 1pt win bet on Crowning Glory at 4/1 BOG, from any of Bet365, BetVictor, Betway, Coral and/or Hills all quoting that price at 9.10pm on Sunday evening, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS