Stat of the Day, 3rd September 2016

Friday’s Result :

8.30 Kempton : Kristjano @ 5/1 BOG 2nd at 9/4 (Tracked leader, ridden over 2f out, kept on towards finish, beaten by just half a length)

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

2.45 Kempton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Lightning Charlie at 11/2 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding really loves running on the A/W, winning 3 of his 6 starts to date, 2/5 here at Kempton. He’s 3 from 4 after a break of 8-30 days and has 2 wins from 4  runs at this Class 4 level.

His trainer Amanda Perrett has a good record in A/W handicaps, winning 55 of 348 (15.8% SR) for 84.8pts (+24.4% ROI) profit since the start of 2010, a record that includes the following…

  • those priced at 4/1 to 12/1 are 36/212 (17%) for 113.1pts (+53.3%)
  • here at Kempton : 32/196 (16.3%) for 85.9pts (+43.8%)
  • ridden by Jim Crowley : 22/100 (22%) for 81.4pts (+81.4%)
  • those running 11-15 days since their last run : 13/67 (19.4%) for 69.9pts (+104.3%)
  • 4 yr olds are 13/67 (19.4%) for 21.3pts (+31.7%)
  • and those ridden by Jim Crowley here at Kempton are 11/54 (20.4%) for 67.4pts (+124.9%)

…pointing to…a 1pt win bet on Lightning Charlie at 11/2 BOG from either Bet365 and/or Betfair Sports who jointly headed the market at 10.05pm on Friday. Betfred/Totesport were matching this price, but aren’t BOG until morning and to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.45 Kempton.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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