Stat of the Day, 10th September 2016

Friday’s Result :

2.20 Sandown :Silverrica @ 4/1 BOG 7th at 6/1 (Tracked leaders, ridden and one pace over 1f out, no impression after)

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

3.50 Bath :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Whip Nae Nae at 4/1 BOG

Why?

Quite a simplistic approach today, revolving around the strike rates of Richard Hannon’s runners here at Bath, who are towards the sharper end of the market and how they perform under today’s race conditions

And my starting point is the 27.7% strike rate achieved by the Hannon runners priced at 5/1 and shorter here at Bath, via 13 winners from 47 runners. And those 47 runners have also achieved the following strike rates…

  • 40.7% finished in the top 3 LTO (11 from 27)
  • 36.7% on good to firm / firm ground (11/30)
  • 35.7% in maidens (5/14)
  • 32.3% from male runners (10/31)
  • 32.1% in non-handicaps (9/28)
  • 31% from those running 6-20 days since their last outing (9/29)
  • 30% at Class 4 (3/10)
  • 29.2% from his 2 yr olds (7/24)

AND…the Hannon males running in non-handicaps on good to firm / firm ground 6-30 days since their last run are 6 from 9 (66.7% SR) for 7.42pts (+82.5% ROI) profit.

…which gives us…a 1pt win bet on Whip Nae Nae at 4/1 BOG, from either of Bet365, BetVictor and/or Betbright, who led the way at 8.30pm on Friday, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.50 Bath.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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