Stat of the Day, 16th September 2016

Thursday’s Result :

5.35 Yarmouth : Valley of Fire @ 4/1 BOG 6th at 7/2 (Held up, ridden and headway over 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

3.40 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Clem Fandango at 7/2 BOG

Why?

Prior to the addition of Thursday’s results, trainer Keith Dalgleish’s runners were 9/32 (28.1% SR) for 9.15pts (+28.6% ROI) profit over the past 14 days and he’s employing the services of Phillip Makin to ride this 2 yr old filly today.

I see this as a positive, as Phillip’s record here at Ayr stands at 49 winners from 302 rides (16.2% SR) for profits of 143.3pts (+47.5% ROI) since the start of the 2010 campaign and of those 302 rides, he is…

  • 17/82 (20.7%) for 75.5pts (+92%) for Keith Dalgleish
  • 17/39 (24.6%) for 43.7pts (+63.3%) in non-handicaps
  • 15/66 (22.7%) for 45.2pts (+68.4%) on 2 yr olds
  • and 6/38 (15.8%) for 10.44pts (+27.5%) over this 5f trip.

In additon to the above, Clem Fandango is by Elzaam, whose offspring are currently enjoying some success in their first season, winning 16 of 100 races for profits of 47.5pts, all 2 yr olds of course!

These 2 yr olds are 7/28 (25% SR) for 21.66pts (+77.4% ROI) over 5 furlongs and are 6/16 (37.5%) for 46pts after a break of 26 to 60 days with those racing over 5f, 26-60 days since their last run winning 2 of 6 for 6.33pts.

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Clem Fandango at 7/2 BOG, which was available from Bet365, BetVictor and Ladbrokes at 5.15pm on Thursday, so to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.40 Ayr.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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