Friday’s Result :
5.15 Worcester : Miss Crick @ 4/1 BOG WON at 5/1 (Chased leaders, led 2 out, clear flat, comfortable win by 8 lengths)
Saturday’s pick goes in the…
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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Miracle of Medinah at 9/2 BOG
It might well be a whole year on Monday since this 5yr old gelding last won a race, but it’s worth remembering that the win came in a Group 3 contest and he’s been asked to carry too much weight ever since.
He was paired up with the promisingly talented Lulu Stamford for the very first time when last seen 15 days ago and that resulted in his best run since that big win a year ago. Lulu is very good value for her 7lb claim and this allowance allied to a falling handicap mark has made this horse very competitive again.
Lulu is riding well, as seen by her 4 wins and 4 placed finished from 14 rides in the last 4 weeks (she just needs more rides!), including that runner-up finish on Miracle of Medinah for trainer Mark Usher, whose horses are 2 from 8 since that race.
This horse now takes a further drop in class after being headed very late on last time out and Mark Usher’s Flat handicappers dropping down a grade are 10/73 (13.7% SR) for 39.9pts (+54.7% ROI), from which…
- those last seen 11-25 days ago are 9/47 (19.1%) for 50.3pts (+107.1%)
- those finishing 2nd to 5th LTO are 6/28 (21.4%) for 21.5pts (+76.6%)
- and on good to soft ground : 3/9 (33.3%) for 38.9pts (+432%)
AND…those who finished 2nd to 5th, 11 to 25 days ago are 6/20 (30% SR) for 29.5pts (+147.5% ROI).
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Miracle of Medinah at 9/2 BOG, which was available in at least 10 places at 9.20pm on Friday, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS