Stat of the Day, 5th October 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

5.10 Brighton : Virile @ 9/2 non-BOG 2nd at 4/1 (Fell out of the stalls, missed the break and slowly into stride, held up, towards rear, good headway on wide outside over 1f out, chased winner and every chance well inside final furlong, just held off by a head)

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

2.40 Ludlow :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Templehills at 11/4 BOG

Why?

Well, it’s quite a simple one tonight/today, depending on when you’re reading this.

August to October has become known as “Twister Season”, due to the success at this time of year of Nigel Twiston Davies and his jumpers.

NTD / 5-10 yr olds / Chases & Hurdles / August-October / 2008-16 = 165/730 (22.6% SR) for 401.2pts (+55% ROI) and you could stop there, but I won’t!

Of these 730 runners…

  • males are 153/652 (23.5%) for 384.7pts (+59%)
  • hurdlers are 71/327 (21.7%) for 257.6pts (+78.9%)
  • non-handicappers are 69/263 (26.2%) for 218.4pts (+83%)
  • 5 yr olds are 45/177 (28.4%) for 169.2pts (+95.6%)
  • LTO winners are 35/144 (24.3%) for 42.9pts (+29.8%)

AND..male non-hcp hurdlers are 36/142 (25.4% SR) for 183.9ts (+129.5% ROI), of which…

  • 5 yr olds are 20/79 (25.3%) for 125.7pts (+159.2%)
  • LTO winners are 9/29 (31%) for 9.83pts (+33.9%)
  • and in 2016 : 6/12 (50%) for 6.04pts (+50.3%)

with 5 yr old male non-hcp hurdlers who won LTO winning 5 of 15 (33.3%) for 4.2pts at an ROI of 28%, which is a pretty good return for an exposed MO…

…which gives us…a 1pt win bet on Templehills at 11/4 BOG, which was offered in a half dozen or so places at 6.25pm on Tuesday. I’d use Bet365 if possbile, in case it drifts and we can get BOG plus but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.40 Ludlow.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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