Stat of the Day, 7th October 2016

Thursday’s Result :

3.40 Hereford : Satanic Beat @ 6/1 BOG 3rd at 5/1 (In touch, headway 3 out to chase leaders, ridden in 3rd before last, kept on same pace)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

9.10 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Rich Again at 11/2 BOG

Why?

Trainer James Bethell’s horses have won 3 of their 7 races over the last fortnight and are 2 from 4 in the last 7 days. His last five runners here at Newcastle have finished 13101 and he’ll be confident of extending his record in A/W handicaps which currently stands at 24 winners from 160 (15% SR) for profits of 38.9pts at an ROI of 24.3% since the start of 2010.

Of those 160 runners…

  • those last seen 6-45 days ago are 24/122 (19.7%) for76.9pts (+63.1%)
  • those priced at 9/4 to 10/1 are 19/96 (19.8%) for 40.1pts (+41.7%)
  • on Tapeta : 10/34 (29.4%) for 24.2pts (+71%)
  • those ridden by PJ McDonald are 4/22 (22.2%) for 11.4pts (+63.2%)
  • 7 yr olds are 6/19 (31.6%) for 22.3pts (+117.2%)
  • and here at Newcastle, they are 3/6 (50% SR) for 13.8pts (+230.4% ROI).

And in Rich Again, he has a runner who should be well suited by the job in hand tonight, as he comes here in good nick (1741 in his last 4 runs), having won in this grade over course and distance last time out, 7 days ago.

He’s 9 from 29 (31% SR) on the All Weather to date, including the following of relevance tonight…

  • 5/15 (33.3%) at Class 4
  • 3/10 (30%) wearing blinkers
  • 3/9 (33.3%) this year
  • 2/6 (33.3%) over 5f
  • 2/6 (33.3%) i fields of 12-15 runners
  • 2/5 (40%) under PJ McDonald
  • and 1/1 here at Newcastle, courtesy of that C&D win under today’s jockey last time out.

…giving rise to…a 1pt win bet on Rich Again at 11/2 BOG, from Betfair Sports, who led the fledgling market at 5.30pm on Thursday, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 9.10 Newcastle.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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