Race of the Day – 15:45 Leicester
There is quite a valuable sprint handicap here at Leicester today, with over £15k for the winner of this 0-100 five furlong dash.
Humidor is top of the Speed Ratings, and if you haven’t been following Matt’s trial on the forum (“Max SR Min Trip”) regarding horses in five furlong races that are top of the Speed Ratings, then it is definitely worth a look.
Kasbah is the horse that really stands out on the place setting of the Instant Expert tab. He has useful form over this distance, and with it being a specialist distance, that is very important. He is also at home on the going, and in fields of this size. He is also two pounds lower than his last winning rating on turf, so definitely has the potential to get involved.
The pace of the race is obviously very important over this distance, and the Pace tab shows that an impressive one in four horses that lead the race, go on to win for a level stakes profit of 59.28.
Mirza and Lightscameraction score the highest here and look likely to be fighting it out for the lead today. They are drawn seven and six respectively, so the pace is going to come from the high numbers. At the other end, Poyle Vinnie and Humidor are definite hold up horses and will hope to pick them off late on.
The Heat Map and Draw / Run Style Combinations report confirms what we saw above, and that is that leading the race early on definitely seems like the best place to be.
Horses drawn high looked to have performed best, with a positive green in three of the four sections.
However, with there being just the eight runners here today, I don’t think I would let it put me off backing something just because it doesn’t appear favoured by the draw.
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