Race of the Day – 16:25 Carlisle
This is a wide open looking novices’ handicap chase over two miles and five furlongs, with the none of the runners easily ruled out on first glance.
Charlie Longsdon’s horses are in fine form, with an almost 20% strike rate over the past month. He runs Materplan here who is making his chasing debut here today. He has champion jockey Richard Johnson on board and he has a pretty useful record around Carlisle, having won with over half of his rides here in the last year for a level stakes P/L of 9.71.
Kilronan Castle is a another making their chase debut today, and he stands out with a nice line of green on the Instant Expert tab. Four of the five sections are in fact green, with just not having run in the class before being the only omission.
Oscar Blue and Masterplan are the other runners that show up well on today’s going. However, as it isn’t extreme conditions (heavy or firm), then I usually pay less attention to this section.
It should be noted that the Instant Expert tab is the report that is free to use for everybody, in all the races on a Thursday. It is one of the most popular reports and is excellent for quickly narrowing down the field for people short on time.
There is a definite bias towards horses leading the race over this course and distance. The Pace tab shows us that over 28% of leaders have gone on to win the race, for a level stakes P/L of 13.46.
Masterplan looks sure to be right up there with the pace given his recent outings, and if he can take to the fences, he may be hard to peg back.
Major Ivan and Kilronan Castle are others who like to get on with things and will not want to give Johnson too much of a head start.
McCain and Kennedy haven’t teamed up here at Carlisle that often in the past, however when they do, their record is excellent. They have four wins and six places from eleven runners for a win strike rate of over 36%. This is definitely worth taking note of, and they are with Kilronan Castle here today.
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