Race of the Day – 14:05 Fakenham
The Skelton’s have the short priced favourite (Throthethatch) in this two and a half mile handicap hurdle.
They have been in nice form recently and have a useful record at the course. Throthethatch returns to hurdling after a season of chasing, which is an interesting move considering this is his first start for Skelton.
Nicky Henderson is another with course form, and his is excellent. Half of the runners he has sent here over the past five years on gone onto win, and he runs Courtesy Call today.
Having already mentioned that Throthethatch is running for his trainer for the first time today, it is worth checking out Dan Skelton’s record when inheriting horses. The Trainer Snippets report shows us that he has a brilliant record with these types, with a 25 wins from 80 runs (31.25%) for a level stakes P/L of 14.65. Throthethatch becomes very interesting all of a sudden.
With the Instant Expert tab on the place setting Bowdler’s Magic comes out quite well. He has a decent record at the course and in similar sized fields and has amber on the remainder of the sections. He is also racing from the same weight as he last win, so if he runs true to form, his price of 12/1 may appeal from an each way perspective.
Throthethatch was a definite front runner for his previous yard, so it will be intriguing to see whether or not the same tactics are applied.
Front runners over this course and distance have a 22% win record and it looks like both Destiny’s Gold and Bohemian Rhapsody will be right up with the pace as well.
Even during writing this piece, the price and any potential value on Throthethatch has disappeared. In my opinion he is the likely winner, however as there is no longer any value in his price, I won’t be backing him.
Due to the price contraction, there is potentially value to be had elsewhere, so if you are keen on something, leave a comment and let me know what you think.
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