Stat of the Day, 14th October 2016

Thursday’s Result :

5.30 Carlisle : Baysbrown @ 100/30 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Made most, hard pressed 2 out, headed narrowly when mistake last, soon ridden, no extra and held final 100 yards)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

2.40 Fakenham :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Alyasan at 9/4 BOG

Why?

On a day pretty bereft on standout, blockbuster stats, I’m keeping Friday’s message a little simpler than usual (hallelujah, I hear some of you cry!).

We’ve got a 5 yr old gelding in decent form trained by Dan Skelton whose runners priced at 9/2 and shorter have a 30.8% strike rate here at Fakenham, whilst more generally in handicap hurdle contests, his runners are 51/265 (19.25%) for 18.9pts (+7.14% ROI). The profit is a little on the modest side, but that’s blind unfiltered profits.

If we narrow the numbers down, the returns improve and with today in mind…

  • males are 45/233 (19.3%) for 24.7pts (+10.6%)
  • 5 yr olds are 10/54 (18.5%) for 20.1pts (+37.3%)
  • those racing over 16.5 to 17 furlongs are 9/35 (25.7%) for 27.4pts (+78.3%)
  • and here at Fakenham : 2/7 (28.6%) for 1.7pts (+24.25%)

And if you wanted a small Dan Skelton handicap hurdles micro, you could try…5 & 6 yr old males at trips of 1m7.5f to 2m1f inclusivem as they are 10 from 42 (23.8% SR) for 19.3pts (+46% ROI). This angle has been very productive this year at 6/22 (27.3%) for 15.6pts (+70.9%)

…and the 23rd selection is…a 1pt win bet on Alyasan at 9/4 BOG, from any one of a half dozen or so firms offering the same price at 7.25pm on Thursday and to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.40 Fakenham.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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