Stat of the Day, 18th October 2016

Monday’s Result :

2.10 Pontefract : Mount Moriah @ 100/30 BOG WON at 100/30 (Tracked leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, hung badly right inside final furlong, all out)

Tuesday’s pick goes in the…

8.10 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Cryptic at 5/2 BOG

Why?

This 3 year old filly is in sparkling form and comes here seeking a course and distance hat-trick just 14 days after a win that came 15 days after the opening win of the sequence.

She has won three of her nine A/W races to date, including the following…

• 3 from 5 in fields of 11 or more runners
• 3/4 going right handed
• 3/4 here at Kempton
• 2/4 11 to 15 days after her last run
• 2/4 over the 1m trip
• 2/3 over course and distance
• 2/3 on standard to slow going
• 2/2 under jockey Pat Cosgrave

…and she has the benefit of being trained by Luca Cumani, whose record here at Kempton, since the start of 2012, stands at 24 winners from 114 (21.1% SR) for profits of 123.6pts at an ROI of 108.5% and we can further assess those 114 runners as follows…

• 3 yr olds are 17/74 (23%) for 37.1pts (+50.1%)
• in handicaps : 12/63 (19.1%) for 36.5pts (+58%)
• over the 1m trip : 8/37 (21.6%) for 31.6pts (+85.4%)
• and those ridden by Pat Cosgrave are 3 from 3 for 8.05pts (+268.2%)

AND…3 yr olds in 1m handicaps are 4/12 (33.3% SR) for 23.78pts (+198.2%), with a record of 2 from 3 for 3.81pts (+126.9%) this year.

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Cryptic at 5/2 BOG, from Betfair Sports, Betfred, BetVictor, Hills & Totesport who all offered the same price at 6.10pm on Monday night, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 8.10 Kempton.

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…