Stat of the Day, 26th October 2016
Tuesday’s Result :
5.05 Catterick : Compton River @ 3/1 BOG 5th at 5/2 (Tracked leaders, ridden to lead and edged left over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra)
Wednesday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Unsuspected Girl at 7/2 BOG
Why?
Trainer David Simcock is 5 from 22 in the last fortnight and his horses tend to go really well here at Cherlmsford with 21 winners from 92 (22.8% SR) generating 36.3pts of level stakes profits at an ROI of some 39.4%. Included in those figures are the following…
- handicappers are 18/56 (32.1%) for57.4pts (+102.5%)
- 3 yr olds are 9/39 (23.1%) for 13.9pts (+35.6%)
- those ridden by Sophie Killoran are 4/18 (22.2%) for 15.2pts (+84.4%)
- 3 yr old handicappers are 8/15 (53.3%) for 35.7pts (+238.1%)
- and 3 yr old handicappers ridden by Sophie Killoran are 2/3 (66.7% SR) for 15.28pts at an ROI of 509.4%
Unsuspected Girl has made the frame in each of her last seven starts finishing 3312132 in the process and should really be coming here on the back of a course and distance victory, but an unusually slow start scuppered her chances 16 days ago, when she was beaten by less than a length finishing strongly.
This year, she has finished 13132 on the A/W, including results of…
- 2132 under Sophie Killoran
- 112 here at Chelmsford
- 12 over this track and trip
- 1 win from 1 run at this Class 5 grade
…steering us towards…a 1pt win bet on Unsuspected Girl at 7/2 BOG, a price offered by Betbright, Betfair Sports, Betfred and Ladbrokes at 5.50pm on Tuesday, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
…click here for the betting on the 3.30 Chelmsford.
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
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