Stat of the Day, 5th November 2016

Friday’s Result :

14:35 Warwick: Courtlands Prince @ 5/2 BOG – 3rd @ 2/1 (Chased leaders, mistake 3rd, pushed along after 5th, outpaced 3 out, soon weakened, mistake 2 out, went 3rd last)

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

13:35 Wincanton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Virgilio @ 5/2 BOG


Virgilio has won five of his seven starts to date, and was rated as high as 149 over hurdles. He has had the two chase races so far, winning both in good fashion, the most recent when seeing off the very useful Brother Ted. His jumping should be much sharper for those two outings, and I think he has a great chance in a very open four horse race.

The following stats are applicable here

  • Virgilio’s sire, Denham Red, for jumpers that are in the six to eight year old range is 10/16 for 6.06 pts (62.50%)
  • trainer Dan Skelton’s five year course form is 7/27 for 2.25 pts (25.93%)
  • and for the past 14 days he is 8/23 (34.78%)
  • jockey Harry Skelton for the past 30 days is 11/46 (23.91%)

The trainer and jockey combination of Dan and Harry Skelton have the following stats

  • at the course over the past five year they are 5/20 for 2.25  pts (25.00%)

…pointing us towards…a 1pt win bet on Virgilio @ 5/2 a price offered by Bet365 (my preference), Paddy Power and Skybet at 7:00pm on Friday, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 13:35 Wincanton

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Here is today’s racecard

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