Stat of the Day, 8th November 2016

Monday’s Result :

1.30 Kempton : Little Pop @ 3/1 BOG – UR at 11/4 (Led 1st, remained prominent, mistake and unseated rider 6th)

Tuesday’s pick goes in the…

1.45 Huntingdon

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Copperfacejack @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

Since the start of 2008, trainer Paul Webber’s Class 2to 5 chasers, aged 5 to 9 yrs old are 58/298 (19.5% SR) for 66.5pts (+22.3% ROI) profit when sent off at odds no greater than 12/1, of which…

  • those priced in the 5/2 to 12/1 region are 44/262 (16.8%) for 74.6pts (+28.5%)
  • those racing on Good, Gd to Soft or Soft ground are 48/228 (21.1%) for 870.6pts (+38.4)
  • those racing in the August to December period are 32/144 (22.2%) for 76.9pts (+53.4%)

AND those fulfilling all three of the above criteria are 20/99 (20.2% SR) for 85pts profit at an ROI of 85.9%.

Copperfacejack, of course, fits the bill perfectly and on top of that, this 6 yr old gelding is a son of Robin des Pres, whose offspring are 29/220 (13.2% SR) for 115.6pts (+52.5% ROI) in NH handicaps since the start of 2015, including…

  • 29/212 (13.7%) for 123.6pts (+58.3%) from 5-8 yr olds
  • 25/170 (14.7%) for 144.3pts (+84.9%) over trips of 2m3f to 3m2f
  • 15/108 (13.9%) for 42.9pts (+39.7%) at Classes 3 & 4
  • 13/79 (16.5%) for 53.5pts (+67.7%) from chasers

AND those, like Copperfacejack, who tick all four of the above boxes are 6/33 (18.2% SR) for 56pts (+169.7% ROI)

…leading to…a 1pt win bet on Copperfacejack at 7/2 BOG, from my preferred Bet365, although Betfred, Coral, Hills and Totesport were all matching that price at 6.15pm on Monday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 1.45 Huntingdon

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

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