Stat of the Day, 16th November 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

1.55 Lingfield : Shypen @ 9/2 BOG 10th at 4/1 (Chased leaders, ridden and weakened inside final furlong)

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

6.40 Kempton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sovereign Debt @ 100/30 BOG

Why?

This 7yr old gelding has finished 2222411 in his last 7 runs and comes here on a hat-trick after winning an Irish Listed race last time out to take his record on Listed company to 4 wins and 5 places from just 12 efforts. He’s also made the frame in 5 of 10 races at Gr 3, he’s 10/28 within 30 days of his last run, 4/10 in October/November times and 2 from 2 under today’s jockey Declan McDonagh.

The David Nicholls horses are in good nick too, finishing 1313P130 with their last 8 runners and they are 5 from 15 in the last 25 days and have just one shot at glory today, as Sovereign Debt is David’s only runner here.

That said, similar solo travellers are 118/815 (14.5% SR) for 143.7pts (+17.6% ROI) since the start of 2010, with the following of interest today…

• those who last ran 6-20 days ago : 66/433 (15.2%) for 12.5pts (+28.3%)
• in non-handicaps : 58/252 (23%) for 123.1pts (+48.8%)
• on the A/W : 40/246 (16.3%) for 63.1pts (+25.7%)
• LTO winners : 24/110 (21.8%) for 17.5pts (+15.9%)
• at Kempton : 6/33 (18.2%) for 12.2pts (+36.9%)
• and those ridden by Declan McDonagh are 2 from 2 (100%) for 3.77pts (+188.5%)

AND…in A/W non-hcps, 6-20 dslr : 11 from 46 (23.9% SR) for 25.8pts (+56% ROI)

…but for now…a 1pt win bet on Sovereign Debt at 100/30 BOG, a price offered at 6.55pm on Tuesday by market leader Boylesports with plenty of 3/1 BOG elsewhere. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 6.40 Kempton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard