Stat of the Day, 17th November 2016

Wednesday’s Result :

6.40 Kempton : Sovereign Debt @ 100/30 BOG 3rd at 11/10 (Tracked leader until ridden over 2f out, stayed on same pace from over 1f out)

Thursday’s pick goes in the…

4.40 Chelmsford

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Geraldine @ 9/2 BOG


The only previous winner in this this line-up after scoring over this trip at Kempton last time out three weeks ago. That was her first run under Martin Harley who retains the ride today for Stuart Williams, whose A/W record is the base for today’s selection.

Stuart’s record in A/W handicaps since the start of 2013 stands at 81 winners from 438 (18.5% SR) for 95.7pts (+21.9% ROI), with the the following of interest/relevance to this contest…

  • those racing 11-60 dslr are 60/313 (19.2%) for 101.4pts (+32.4%)
  • those priced at 11/10 to 8/1 are 72/306 (23.5%) for 107.5pts (+35.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 30/146 (20.6%) for 54.7pts (+37.5%)
  • here at Chelmsford : 21/114 (18.4%) for 39.1pts (+34.3%)
  • and over 6f : 19/102 (18.6%) for 38.1pts (+37.3%)

And a simple Stuart Williams micro for Chelmsford? OK, those priced at 11/10 to 8/1, 6 to 60 days after their last run are 18/71 (25.4% SR) for 49.3pts (+69.4% ROI) with 10 winners from 35 (28.6%) already this year producing 26.2pts profit at an ROI of 74.8%)

…but for now…a 1pt win bet on Geraldine at 9/2 BOG, a price offered at 6.25pm on Wednesday by market leader Bet365, but to see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.40 Chelmsford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

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