Stat of the Day, 1st December 2016

Wednesday’s Result :

3.20 Ffos Las : Copper Birch @ 11/4 BOG 5th at 5/4 (Heavily backed and stayed in touch, jumped slow 6th, soon lost place and outpaced, plugged on before 3 out, never dangerous, beaten by 21 lengths – sigh!)

Thursday’s pick goes in the…

2.45 Wincanton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Tikkapick @ 5/2 BOG


This 6 yr old gelding has still to win, but does seem suited by a stamina test akin to the one he’ll face today. He’s on a reduced/workable mark, but despite a lack of wins has been there or thereabouts of late, finishing 24323 in is last five outings.

His yard couldn’t be in better form either and although he’s hardly one of the yard’s leading lights, his trainer Colin Tizzard is certainly the man of the moment! 8 winners from 25 (32% SR) has given way to 3 winners from 8 over the past week and those have contained some really high profile runners.

We’re not quite pitching a that level today, nor are we on one the “prestige tracks”, but recent times have been kind to Mr Tizzard and his string when making the short journey to this local venue with 15 winners from 77 runners (19.5% SR) since the start of 2015, resulting in profits of 25.2pts at an ROI of 32.7%, not bad at all for just popping down the road!

With today’s race in mind, those 77 runners can be further assessed as follows…

  • males are 13/66 (19.7%) for 30.8pts (+46.7%)
  • during October to February : 15/56 (26.8%) for 46.2pts (+82.4%)
  • in handicaps : 13/49 (26.5%) for 49.2pts (+100.5%)
  • over fences : 9/28 (32.1%) for 40.7pts (+145.5%)
  • after a break of 6-20 days : 5/26 (19.2%) for 34.8pts (+133.8%)
  • and at trips of 3m 1f / 3m 2.5f : 3/8 (37.5%) for 28.6pts (+357%)

AND…Male handicap chasers running in that October to February period are 9 from 23 (39.1% SR) for profits of 45.7pts at an ROI of 198.9%.

…directing us to…a 1pt win bet on Tikkapick at 5/2 BOG from Bet365, Betfair Sports, Betfred, Racebets and/or Totesport, as of 6.20pm on Wednesday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.45 Wincanton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

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