Stat of the Day, 8th December 2016

Wednesday’s Result :

7.15 Kempton : Timekeeping @ 5/2 BOG 3rd at 7/4 Tracked leaders, led over 3f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra.

Thursday’s pick goes in the…

2.40 Taunton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Winning Spark @ 4/1 BOG


After Wednesday’s stack of stats, it’s quite a short/simple one today with a 9 yr old gelding with course and distance form trained by a handler who seems to get more than expected from a small string of handicappers.

That trainer is Jackie du Plessis, who has had 17 handicap wins from just 109 runs (15.6% SR) over the last 4 years, resulting in level stakes profits of 35.43pts at an attractive ROI of 32.5% and that’s from blindly backing all of them.

In terms of today’s contests, those 109 runners are…

  • 16/97 (16.5%) for 36.46pts (+37.6%) from her male runners
  • 13/83 (15.7%) for 6.32pts (+7.6%) ridden by today’s jockey JA Best
  • 13/57 (22.8%) for 61.56pts (+108%) over trips of 2m3f to 2m7f
  • 8/53 (15.1%) for 31.12pts (+58.7%) over hurdles
  • 4/24 (16.7%) for 5.75pts (+24%) at Class 3
  • and 3/14 (21.4%) for 9.34pts (+66.7%) here at Taunton

And of course, all of the above apply to Winning Spark, who saves his best for this venue with 2 wins and 3 places from 7 starts in handicap hurdles here, all under today’s jockey.

Of those 7 previous visits, he has 2 wins and a place from 4 runs at 2.3f/2m3.5f, he has a win ands 2 places from 3 Class 3 runs and is 1 from 2 here this year…

…hence…a 1pt win bet on Winning Spark at 4/1 BOG with Hills who led the way at 5.40pm on Wednesday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.40 Taunton

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Here is today’s racecard

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