Stat of the Day, 12th December 2016

Saturday’s Result :

5.45 Wolverhampton : Boomerang Bob @ 7/1 BOG 2nd at 11/4 Prominent, ridden to lead over 1f out, ran on, headed close home, beaten by a neck.

Monday’s pick goes in the…

3.30 Plumpton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Shimba Hills @ 5/2 BOG


Since 2010, trainer Lawney Hill has only sent 46 runners on the relatively short (85 miles South) journey to Plumpton, but with 9 winners (19.6% SR) generating some 58pts profit at an ROI of 126.1%, I don’t think it’s a lack of success keeping her and her horses away.

The best of her runners here tend to be 4 to 7 yr olds running in Class 4 to 6 handicaps, like Shimba Hills today, as these runners are 5 from 20 (25% SR) for 9.53pts (+47.65% ROI) profit.

She sends just this one runner here today, but that’s no cause for concern, as since 2008 when sending a single runner to a track, those runners are 97/685 (14.2% SR) for 143.7pts (+21% ROI) profit, from which…

  • at classes 4 to 6 : 86/558 (15.4%) for 189.96pts (+34%)
  • 5 to 8 yr olds are 77/479 (16.1%) for 234pts (+48.9%)
  • and here at Plumpton : 6/28 (21.4%) for 69.8pts (+249.3%)

AND… 5-8 yr olds at Classes 4 to 6 here at Plumpton are 6/20 (30%) for 52.4pts (+262%) with hurdlers winning 3 of 10 (30%) for 43.37pts (+433.7%)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Shimba Hills at 5/2 BOG with Paddy Power and a half dozen others who led the way at 8.25pm on Sunday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.30 Plumpton

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Here is today’s racecard

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