Stat of the Day, 17th December 2016

Friday’s Result :

5:15 Wolverhampton : Dougan @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 3/1 – Mid-division, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on.

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

12:15 Lingfield Park

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bayre @ 5/2 BOG

Why?

This five year old colt has not made the frame in his last six outings, however they were some very decent races, including a Group 3 on the all-weather at Kempton. He won a couple of races over this course and distance this time last year, and he looks to be on a winnable mark.

The following stats are applicable:

• Bayre’s sire, Archipenko, is 34/186 (18.28%) with runners on the all-weather for 72.41pts
• trainer Richard Hughes is 14/67 (20.90%) for staying flat horses for 3.86pts
• at Lingfield Bayre is 3/5 (60.00%) for 8.75pts
• over this distance he is 2/5 (40.00%) for 5.00pts
• on today’s going he is 5/16 (31.25%) for 2.85pts.

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Bayre at 5/2 BOG with Bet365, Paddy Power and Ladbrokes who led the way at 6.00pm on Friday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 12:15 Lingfield Park

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s race card