Stat of the Day, 17th December 2016
Friday’s Result :
5:15 Wolverhampton : Dougan @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 3/1 – Mid-division, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on.
Saturday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Bayre @ 5/2 BOG
Why?
This five year old colt has not made the frame in his last six outings, however they were some very decent races, including a Group 3 on the all-weather at Kempton. He won a couple of races over this course and distance this time last year, and he looks to be on a winnable mark.
The following stats are applicable:
- Bayre’s sire, Archipenko, is 34/186 (18.28%) with runners on the all-weather for 72.41pts
- trainer Richard Hughes is 14/67 (20.90%) for staying flat horses for 3.86pts
- at Lingfield Bayre is 3/5 (60.00%) for 8.75pts
- over this distance he is 2/5 (40.00%) for 5.00pts
- on today’s going he is 5/16 (31.25%) for 2.85pts.
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Bayre at 5/2 BOG with Bet365, Paddy Power and Ladbrokes who led the way at 6.00pm on Friday. To see your preferred bookies’ odds, simply…
…click here for the betting on the 12:15 Lingfield Park
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
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