Race of the Day – 14:20 Ayr
There’s a relatively small field for this novices’ chase over two miles, and with the going heavy, it may lead to a very sensible pace being run.
Nicky Richards, who runs Takingrisks here today, has been in excellent form recently. He’s had five winners (31.25%) and seven places (43.75%) from his last 16 runners, for level stakes profits of 25.13 and 27.74 respectively. His horses are clearly in good order so Takingrisks warrants a closer look.
The Shortlist is free to all users on a Tuesday, and Clan Legend has the perfect score of 15 on it. He is clearly very well suited by today’s race conditions, and at a price of 11/1, could be value to potentially provide an upset to the odds on favourite, Starchitect.
The Instant Expert tab highlights what we have already seen about Clan Legend, but it also shows us something particularly interesting about Starchitect. He has raced twice, and not won either time when the going has been heavy, so he may find today’s conditions tough.
For the rest of the field there are a few sections of green dotted around, but nothing to get too carried away about. Three other runners have also won on today’s going alongside Clan Legend, which is an important aspect when the conditions are this extreme.
The pace of the race could prove crucial given the conditions, and the Pace tab shows us that leaders here over this distance have a good record. Early leaders have gone on to win 18.75% of the time, for level stakes profits of 2.65.
Clan Legend is a genuine front runner and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him head straight to the front and try and make all. He is suited by the heavy going, having won three races on it, and is likely to make it a real test of stamina in the hope that the others can’t go with him.
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