Stat of the Day, 21st January 2017

Friday’s Result :

12.50 Musselburgh: Danceintothelight @ 6/1 BOG WON at 13/2 Made all, soon clear, ridden before 2 out, kept on well to win by 4.5 lengths.

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

7.45 Newcastle

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Swansway @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding was a winner over course and distance last time out, three weeks ago under today’s jockey Nathan Evans and he’s been very consistent of late on the A/W, making the frame in each of his last four runs.

He’s up 4lbs for that win, but he was slow away last time, yet stayed on well to win by a length and a half, so with a better start this time, should be able to handle the extra weight.

He’s trained by Mick Easterby whose LTO winners are 43/214 (20.1% SR) for 39.7pts (+18.6% ROI) over the last four years, with the following of particular relevance today…

  • in handicaps : 43/209 (20.6%) for 44.7pts (+21.4%)
  • males are 39/186 (21%) for 47.3pts (+25.4%)
  • those priced at 9/4 to 8/1 are 34/125 (27.2%) for 65.7pts (+52.5%)
  • over the last two years : 24/119 (20.2%) for 37.5pts (+31.5%)
  • those who won by just 1 to 3 lengths LTO are 21/91 (23.1%) for 56.5pts (+62%)
  • ridden by Nathan Evans : 9/51 (17.7%) for 11.1pts (+21.8%)
  • and at Class 6 : 7/29 (24.1%) for 19.4pts (+66.9%)

AND…if you just backed the male handicappers priced at 9/4 to 8/1 over the last 4 yrs, you’d have had 30 winners from 102 (29.4% SR) and profits of 68.2pts at an ROI of 66.9%

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Swansway @ 7/2 BOG which was offered by Bet365, BetVictor and Hills at 9.45pm on Friday and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 7.45 Newcastle 

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

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