Friday’s Result :
12.50 Musselburgh: Danceintothelight @ 6/1 BOG WON at 13/2 Made all, soon clear, ridden before 2 out, kept on well to win by 4.5 lengths.
Saturday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Swansway @ 7/2 BOG
This 4 yr old gelding was a winner over course and distance last time out, three weeks ago under today’s jockey Nathan Evans and he’s been very consistent of late on the A/W, making the frame in each of his last four runs.
He’s up 4lbs for that win, but he was slow away last time, yet stayed on well to win by a length and a half, so with a better start this time, should be able to handle the extra weight.
He’s trained by Mick Easterby whose LTO winners are 43/214 (20.1% SR) for 39.7pts (+18.6% ROI) over the last four years, with the following of particular relevance today…
- in handicaps : 43/209 (20.6%) for 44.7pts (+21.4%)
- males are 39/186 (21%) for 47.3pts (+25.4%)
- those priced at 9/4 to 8/1 are 34/125 (27.2%) for 65.7pts (+52.5%)
- over the last two years : 24/119 (20.2%) for 37.5pts (+31.5%)
- those who won by just 1 to 3 lengths LTO are 21/91 (23.1%) for 56.5pts (+62%)
- ridden by Nathan Evans : 9/51 (17.7%) for 11.1pts (+21.8%)
- and at Class 6 : 7/29 (24.1%) for 19.4pts (+66.9%)
AND…if you just backed the male handicappers priced at 9/4 to 8/1 over the last 4 yrs, you’d have had 30 winners from 102 (29.4% SR) and profits of 68.2pts at an ROI of 66.9%
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Swansway @ 7/2 BOG which was offered by Bet365, BetVictor and Hills at 9.45pm on Friday and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS