Race of the Day – 16:05 Southwell
This is the marathon distance of two miles on the all weather at Southwell, in what is quite an intriguing race.
Start Seven is the current 11/8 favourite and is chasing a four timer, which included an easy win here last time out over 14 furlongs. He shapes as if he will get the extra two furlongs here today easily enough, but he does have a nine pound rise in the weights to contend with.
Fern Owl is the other short priced runner in the field, at 13/8, and he is another who is hit with a nine pounds hike in the weights. He won very easily over course and distance last time out and seems to thrive over two miles.
La Estrella is now 14 years old and hasn’t run for over 400 days, but as he is coming out to race again it can be assumed that he is showing decent enough form at home. He has a remarkable line of green on the Instant Expert tab, from a very large sample of races. He is also just the two pounds higher than for his last victory, therefore if the old sparkle is still there, he could provide an upset.
As could reasonably be expected over this distance, the Pace tab isn’t conclusive at all. It has little relevance on the running style of a particular horse you fancy, as the winners are evenly spread across the four styles.
Horse For Courses is the report that is free to all users on a Friday, and today it shows that La Estrella has a quite incredible record here at Southwell. He’s had 14 wins and from 17 races (82.35%) for a level stakes profit of 12.01. It is far from certain that he will still be able to retain his old ability, but it will be fascinating to see.
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