Stat of the Day, 21stFebruary 2017

Monday’s Result :

2.30 Carlisle : Theatre Act @ 5/1 BOG 3rd at 7/2 Led, ridden and headed before last, no extra on run-in.

Tuesday’s pick goes in the…

4.40 Southwell

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

My Renaissance 11/4 BOG

Why?

Trainer Sam England is 8/29 (27.6% SR) for 7.34pts (+25.3% ROI) over the last two months and has a perfect two from two record here on the A/W at Southwell, thanks to today’s runner My Renaissance, who has quite literally been reborn since a switch to Sam’s yard and a drop back to racing over 1m4f/1m4.5f.

Since that move and subsequent drop back in trip from hurdling, this 7 yr old gelding has finished 21211 with those last two runs/wins coming over this course, distance and class under today’s jockey taking his A/W record to 3 from 6 over 1m4f and 3/5 for Sam England. He’s 2 from 2 this year and in his career he’s 2/2 in February outings.

He’s by Medicean, whose offspring were 33/163 (20.25% SR) for 76pts (+46.6% ROI) in A/W handicaps during 2016, including the following of note today…

  • over 7f to 1m7.5f : 32/130 (24.6%) for 102.7pts (+79%)
  • males were 32/126 (25.4%) for 106.7pts (+84.7%)
  • at odds of 12/1 and shorter : 31/105 (29.5%) for 85.6pts (+81.5%)
  • at Class 6 : 14/65 (21.5%) for 57pts (+87.7%)
  • and here at Southwell : 3/18 (16.6%) for 21.1pts (+117.3%)

From the above, we can also find that males priced at 12/1 and shorter over trips of 7f to 15.5f were 30/85 (35.3% SR) for 99.3pts (+116.9% ROI), of which Class 6 runners won 11 of 33 (33.3%) for 34.4pts (+104.1%) and here at Southwell they were 2/8 (25%) for 4.72pts (+59%).

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on My Renaissance @ 11/4 BOG which was available with both Betfair Sports and SkyBet at 5.20pm on Monday, with plenty of acceptable 5/2 BOG on offer elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.40 Southwell

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

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