Stat of the Day, 25th February 2017

Friday’s Result :

2.30 Warwick : Night of Sin @ 11/4 BOG WON at 7/4 Made all, pushed along after 3 out, stayed on well to win by 1.25 lengths

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

4.10 Kempton…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Sir Note 10/3 BOG


A fairly short and simple one for a change today!

A 7 yr old gelding with 6 wins from 13 races to his name, but more impressively since a switch to James Eustace’s yard and being sent chasing with Jack Quinlan on his back, he’s finished 11131!

He likes the supposed good ground, but I feel it’ll deteriorate and that too will suit, as he’s 2/2 on soft and goes well in small fields. He’s also 4/4 going right handed. 2/2 after a break of 31-60 days and has 1 win and a place from 2 starts at Class 3 company.

He won a Class 3 handicap chase at Leicester last time out (59 days ago) by a good 5 lengths despite not having had a run for almost 29 weeks and this leads us to our stat…

…that tells us that male Class 3 chasers aged 6-9 yrs old who won a handicap chase by 2 to 10 lengths LTO 11 to 150 days ago are 159/765 (20.8% SR) for 167.4pts (+21.9% ROI) since 2008, with those who won by 5 to 10 lengths last time, scoring again on 93 of 405 (23%) occasions for profits of 156.4pts at an ROI of 38.6%, which is…

…enough for…a 1pt win bet on Sir Note @ 10/3 BOG which was available with Betfair Sports, BetVictor & SkyBet at 5.25pm on Friday, but DO take the 7/2 BOG on offer with Paddy Power if you can! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.10 Kempton

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Here is today’s racecard

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